AREM中尺度大气模式与海浪模式双向耦合预报试验  

An Experiment of Mesoscale Atmospheric Model AREM Coupled with Ocean Wave

作　　者：赵伟[1] 徐幼平 程锐 杨支中 杨磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]解放军理工大学气象学院,南京211101 [2]北京应用气象研究所,北京100029

出　　处：《暴雨灾害》2008年第2期114-120,共7页Torrential Rain and Disasters

基　　金：国家"973"项目"我国南方致洪暴雨监测与预测的理论和方法研究"第四课题(2004CB418304);国家公益性行业专项"AREM中尺度数值预报模式资料同化及关键物理过程技术研究"(GYHY(QX)2007-6-12)共同资助

摘　　要：利用中尺度大气模式AREM与国际上比较成熟的海浪模式WAVEWATCH-III进行双向耦合,应用管道通信技术建立区域中尺度大气-海浪耦合模式预报系统,充分考虑中尺度海-气间的相互作用,即大气低层风场驱动海浪并影响海浪状态变化,海浪通过与波龄密切相关的海表粗糙度和海洋飞沫来改变海气间动量、感热和潜热交换从而实现对大气的反馈。文中利用该耦合预报系统对发生在东南沿海的"威马逊"台风过程进行数值试验,重点分析海表粗糙度和海洋飞沫两个耦合因子对台风数值预报的影响。主要结论是:在台风高海况下,海浪引起的海表粗糙度和海洋飞沫的增加对台风数值预报影响均较为显著。海表粗糙度加大了海气间动量通量(摩擦作用),其阻碍台风的发展,但对台风路径预报影响不大;海洋飞沫贡献的感热和潜热为台风发展提供能量,从而使台风强度增强,降水显著增加,并使台风路径预报更加接近实况;两者共同的作用,使台风强度增强,台风路径预报也更为合理。Based on the mesoscale atmospheric model AREM and the popular wave model WAVEWATCH- Ⅲ, a two-way regional mesoscale atmosphere-ocean wave coupling model has been built with pipe communication technology considered the air-sea interaction fully. The near-surface wind directly drove the state of ocean wave; on the other hand, the ocean wave energy fed back to air by changing the momentum,sensible heat and latent heat between air and sea through the spray and the roughness related with the wave age. The coupled system has successfully forecasted No. 0205 typhoon Rammasun. It has been found that under high wind conditions, both the roughness and spray had a large effect on the typhoon system. Sea spray increased the intensity and precipitation of typhoon through enhancing the latent heat flux and sensible heat flux, while the roughness enhances air-sea momentum exchange （friction）to decrease the intensity and precipitation of typhoon. Moreover, the typhoon track was sensitive to sea spray but little to roughness.

关 键 词：台风数值预报 台风降水 大气-海浪耦合 AREM 海浪模式 

分 类 号：P456.7[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]