外商直接投资与浙江省经济增长关系的协整分析  

Co-integration Analysis to the Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Zhejiang Province

作　　者：曾慧[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学统计与计算科学学院

出　　处：《统计教育》2008年第7期22-26,共5页Statistical education

基　　金：浙江省高校人文社科重点研究基地(浙江工商大学统计学)以及浙江工商大学校级课题(1020KU108007)资助

摘　　要：文章通过对浙江省1984～2006年间FDI与GDP时间序列的协整分析和Granger因果关系检验,得出结论:FDI与经济增长存在稳定的正向均衡效应。短期内,FDI的增长与经济增长不存在因果关系;长期内,FDI的增长与经济增长具有单向的因果关系,即FDI的增长是经济增长Granger的原因。从这一结论出发,给出了浙江省引进外资的相关建议。By integrated analysis to FDI and economic growth and the assessment to causality, the paper reaches a conclusion, there is a stable positive and balanced effect between FDI and economic growth. In short term, there is no causality between FDI growth and economic growth; in long term, there is a lineal causality between FDI growth and economic growth, i.e. FDI growth is the reason for economic growth Granger. Based on this conclusion, the paper makes relevant suggestions to foreign capital investment in Zhejiang province.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 国内生产总值 协整理论 误差修正模型 格兰杰因果检验 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] N945.1[自然科学总论—系统科学]