基于TOPSIS法的区域水资源承载力预测评价--以陕西省关中地区为例  

The Forecast Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources Based on TOPSIS Model——A Case Study of Guanzhong Region in Shaanxi Province

作　　者：王江[1] 李靖[2] 魏红义[1] 田鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学资源环境学院,陕西杨陵712100 [2]西北农林科技大学水利与建筑工程学院,陕西杨陵712100

出　　处：《水土保持研究》2008年第3期161-163,共3页Research of Soil and Water Conservation

基　　金：农业部948项目“土壤侵蚀及其环境效应评价模型”(2003-Z57)

摘　　要：应用多目标决策的TOPSIS法,对陕西省关中地区水资源承载力进行预测性评价,分析关中地区未来水资源开发利用的合理性及规划方案的可行性。结果表明:关中地区的水资源承载力均处于Ⅱ-Ⅲ级,相对较低,并趋近于Ⅲ级极限值。可见,该区未来经济发展规划的期望值虽与水资源"承载力"各项指标相接近,但相对较低的水资源承载力势必给区域生态环境造成极大的压力。故在该地区未来水资源规划中,应充分考虑水资源开发、利用给生态环境带来的影响,在加大黄河过境水利用以及两江调水的基础上,更应加强节水、废污水处理和水的重复利用。该文采用TOPSIS评价模型,评价结果与模糊综合评判法基本一致。而TOPSIS法更具实用性和可操作性。Water resources carrying capacity relates to the problem of water resources security closely and becomes an emphases of water resources study which has important effect on the water utilized and configured reasonably in the future. TOPSIS model was cited in this paper to make a forecast evaluation on water resources carrying capacity in Guanzhong area in Shaanxl province. The results demonstrated that the development of water resources is satisfied with the requirment in this region in the future. But rather lower resources carrying capacity will be threated the local ecology environment. TOPSIS model adopted in this study is not only that the conclusion is similar with fuzzy comvrehensive evaluation hut aslo the opreatation is more easy,

关 键 词：TOPSIS法 水资源承载力 预测性评价 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]