四川南充市农业劳动力状况统计分析与预测  

Statistic Analysis and Forecast on Agriculture Labour Force of Nanchong in Sichuan Province

作　　者：张德然[1] 牛向阳[1] 张栋栋[2] 

机构地区：[1]阜阳师范学院数学与计算科学学院,安徽阜阳236032 [2]阜阳师范学院教育科学学院,安徽阜阳236032

出　　处：《阜阳师范学院学报（自然科学版）》2008年第2期1-3,共3页Journal of Fuyang Normal University(Natural Science)

基　　金：2006年全国统计科学研究计划项目(LX:2006C39)

摘　　要：根据南充农村劳动近几年的分布情况,运用多元线性回归分析,偏相关系数等统计方法,找出了影响南充农业劳动力分布情况的主要因素及其规律,并对未来十年南充在市人口及从事农业人口进行了预测与比较,指出南充粮食可以自给,城镇化仍在继续.According to the distribution of Nanchong＇s rural labor in the past few years, it usese the regression analysis of multivariant linearity, the prejudiced relevance modulus statistical method and so on, which has found out the major factor distributing condition and their law affecting the Nanchong＇s agriculture labour force. It also has carried out the forecast and comparison on Nanchong＇s population in city and the population engaged in agricultural over the coming 10 years, pointing out that Nanchong＇s grain is able to be self-supporting , and the city and town-rization will still be continuing

关 键 词：劳动力 回归分析 预测 

分 类 号：O213[理学—概率论与数理统计]