新疆旅游经济驱动因子的量化分析  

QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE DRIVING FACTORS OF TOURISM IN XINJIANG

作　　者：何昭丽[1] 海米提·依米提[2] 王松茂[1] 丁培毅[3] 

机构地区：[1]新疆大学旅游学院,乌鲁木齐830047 [2]干旱半干旱可持续发展国际研究中心,乌鲁木齐830046 [3]昆士兰大学旅游与休闲管理学院,澳大利亚

出　　处：《人文地理》2008年第3期113-117,34,共6页Human Geography

基　　金：《教育部春晖计划》项目(030144);国家科研基金项目(G1999043508);新疆大学青年科研启动基金项目资助

摘　　要：以新疆旅游为例,针对可能影响新疆旅游发展的指标变量,运用因子分析法、聚类分析法就新疆各地州市的旅游经济驱动因子及其相似性进行定量化的综合评价。因子分析得出:社会经济发展状况是影响新疆旅游经济发展的第一主因子,旅游资源状况为第二主因子,口岸开放状况、贸易状况分别为第三、四因子。运用回归法对因子分析进行进一步研究,证明第一因子确实对旅游收入的影响最大,第二因子旅游资源状况也是旅游创收的重要动力。Along with rapid development of tourism, the research of the driving force of the regional tourism has become more and more important .The urgent request is to learn about the factors which impel the regional tourism development,and what are the main factors ？ what is the relationship between the tourism income and these factors ？And how are the factors organized ？The driving factors vary as the different types of tourism regions,and even the same types of different regions ,its driving factors importance vary. Based on the system elements of Xinjiang Tourism development impetus, the authors did a pilot study of the driving factor systems of tourism development finding out the bottleneck of the development of Xinjiang tourism, establishing the tourism dynamic factors system of Xinjiang ,studing the relations between these driving factors and tourism income and predicting which investments are more important in the future development of tourism in Xinjiang. The Conclusions are drawn as follows. （1） The driving factors od tourism development of Xinjiang are： social economy, facility, talented person condition; tourism resources; port, and the open conditionof trade as well. （2） The international tourism income has the most remarkable relevance to the factors of social economy, facility, talented person condition .But the domestic tourism income has remarkable relevance with the four kinds of factors of social economy,facility, talented person condition and tourism resources; port and the open condition of trade. （3） Clustering situation reflects the development of Xinjiang＇s tourism is mainly in accordance with the socio-economic, human resources, tourism resources and location. Also, clustering is more in line with the development of tourism in Xinjiang actual situation.（4） The tourism resources and traffic condition affect the tourism development of Xinjiang ,but the socio-economic, personnel and other factors played the greater role in it. To sum up ,the main feature of this paper

关 键 词：新疆旅游业 驱动因子 因子分析 回归分析 聚类分析 

分 类 号：F590.6[经济管理—旅游管理]