中国田径优势项目竞争实力分析  

Analysis on Competitive Strength of the Strong Athletic Events of China

作　　者：王毅[1] 宋志强[2] 王晓红 

机构地区：[1]河北大学体育部,河北保定071002 [2]河北科技大学体育部,河北石家庄050000 [3]河北省体育局田径运动管理中心,河北石家庄050000

出　　处：《中国体育科技》2008年第4期32-35,94,共5页China Sport Science and Technology

摘　　要：根据IAAF公布的各项目世界最好成绩,筛选在中国田径优势项目中,世界其他国家(地区)和中国田径优秀运动员在2003年至2007年之间比赛成绩,运用Excel 2003提供的数据分析工具,以趋势分析和指数平滑等方法,对中国运动员竞争实力进行分析比较,认为中国运动员在男子110 m栏的竞争中有一定优势;女子马拉松运动员获得奖牌的可能性较大;男子20 km竞走运动员在该项竞争中,占有较明显的集团优势;男子50 km竞走和女子20 km竞走有望冲击奖牌;女子链球运动员获得奖牌难度较大。According to the IAAF announced the world best results in each events, screening in Chinese track and field advantage events that other nations in the world and the Chinese track and field top athletes competed the result between 2003 to September 2,2007 ,making use of Excel to provide the 2003 of data analysis tool, trend analysis and index smoothing methods, through carrying on the analysis comparison to the Chinese contestant＇s at 29th Olympic Games competition strength, the author thinks that the Chinese contestant has certain advantage in the man 110m hurdler, and has possibility of getting gold medal. Woman marathon contestant ac- quires the possibility of medal greatly, and has opportunity to acquire gold medal. Man＇s 20kin race walking the contestant occupy more obvious group advantage in the item＇s competition, but take off a gold to have no guarantee because of lacking elite players. Man 20km and woman 20km race walking has the possibility to acquire medal. The woman hammer throw contestant acquires a medal difficulty.

关 键 词：中国 田径 优势项目 奥运会 29届 竞争实力 分析 

分 类 号：G82[文化科学—体育训练]