干线公路网交通量综合预测法研究  

Study on Comprehensive Method to Forecast Traffic Volumes in Arterial Highway Network

作　　者：刘洋[1] 裴玉龙[1] 陈洪仁[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨建筑大学交通学院

出　　处：《哈尔滨建筑大学学报》1997年第6期107-112,共6页Journal of Harbin University of Civil Engineering and Architecture

摘　　要：将四阶段法与总量控制法相结合形成了区域干线公路网交通量的综合预测法。该法吸收两类方法的优点，克服了它们的缺陷，是一种实用预测方法。针对公路网的特点，分析和研究了交通分配方法的改进。由部分路段交通量预测ＯＤ量的重力模型法、规划年度ＯＤ量预测等问题，以黑龙江省国道网为例应用了提出的综合预测法。Based on the four-steps method and the general volume control method,the comprehensive method to forecast the traffic volume of regional arterial highway network is proposed in this paper According to the characters of highway network,some problems such as the improvement of the traffic assignment method in the gravity model to estimate OD matrices from link traffic count data and the estimation of the OD matrices in the objective plan year are analyzed and studied At last,the comprehensive forecasting method is applied in the arterial highway network of Heilongjiang province

关 键 词：公路网 交通量 预测方法 

分 类 号：U491.113[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]