合肥市夏季居民空调降温负荷调查分析  

Investigation analysis of summer resident air-conditioning cooling load in Hefei

作　　者：施旭军[1] 金备[1] 刘文博[1] 罗庚玉[2] 杨洁 

机构地区：[1]合肥供电公司,合肥230000 [2]安徽省电力公司,合肥230061 [3]安徽经典市场调查咨询有限公司,合肥230061

出　　处：《电力需求侧管理》2008年第4期27-29,34,共4页Power Demand Side Management

摘　　要：为了分析空调降温负荷对合肥地区夏季总负荷的影响,对合肥夏季的居民空调降温负荷的总量和相关特性进行了调查分析,建立了空调负荷总安装容量与居民特性变量间的回归预测模型以及空调实际负荷与气温变化的回归预测模型,为合肥市电力公司制定高峰时段负荷调控政策和措施提供科学依据。In order to analyze the influence of air-conditioning cooling load on the total summer load in Hefei, this article investigates and analyzes the totality and relevant characteristics of resident air-conditioning cooling load in Hefei. Two regression forecasting models are established, one is about total installed capacity of air conditioning load and resident characteristic variables, the other is about actual air-conditioning load and temperature changes. All of these supply scientific accordance for Hefei electric power company to formulate load control policies and measures in peak period.

关 键 词：夏季空调负荷 居民特性变量 回归预测模型 

分 类 号：F407.61[经济管理—产业经济] TM714[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]