机构地区:[1]南京大学医学院临床学院 [2]南京军区南京总医院解放军肾脏病研究所,南京210002
出 处:《肾脏病与透析肾移植杂志》2008年第3期216-223,共8页Chinese Journal of Nephrology,Dialysis & Transplantation
摘 要:目的:回顾性分析弥漫增生型狼疮性肾炎(DPLN)的远期预后及影响预后的因素。方法:临床符合SLE,经肾活检存在弥漫增生性病变的狼疮性肾炎(Ⅳ/Ⅳ+V,ISN/RPS2003肾脏病理分型标准)患者441例[女性377例,男性64例,平均年龄(29.6±9.85)岁]。通过Kaplan-Meier法估算人肾存活率,并建立COX风险模型,分析影响预后的危险因素。结果:(1)人、肾存活率:441例平均随访(60.8±43.3)个月(中位时间61个月)。共15例(3.4%)死亡(感染11例,脑血管意外2例,肺出血1例,猝死1例),5年、10年人存活率分别为96.5%和92%;共28例(6%)在随访期间进展至终末期肾病(endstageranaldisease,ESRD),5年、10年肾存活率分别为94.5%和86.4%。随访初SCr≥132.6μmol/L(HR6.54)、慢性化指数(CI)≥3(HR3.52)、伴有血管病变(HR10.37)及V型病变(HR2.80)、治疗未获缓解(HR10.22)及复发(HR6.13)是肾脏进入ESRD的独立危险因素。(2)1999至2003年DPLN患者5年人、肾存活率均高于1993至1998年(分别为96.3%vs93.6%;95.7%vs90%,P>0.05),但未达统计学差异;(3)复发及转型:323例(73.2%)在随访(7.6±8.5)月(中位时间5月)时达缓解,139例(31.5%)平均随访(35.4±28.2)月(中位时间26月)时复发,5年累积复发率达34.7%。71例因治疗未缓解或复发行重复肾活检,其中17例(23.9%)发生转型(Ⅳ型转为Ⅳ+V型)。(4)并发症:共发生并发症270例次(61.2%),主要包括感染(21.3%),月经紊乱(20.2%),股骨头坏死(5.4%),肝酶升高(4.5%)等,5年累积无并发症发生率56.7%。结论:本组DPLN5年人肾存活率可达90%,但复发率及并发症发生率高。随访初合并血管病变、肾功能不全、肾组织慢性化损伤严重、治疗未缓解及复发进入ESRD风险增大。感染仍为主要死因。提高缓解率、降低复发率及减少并发症仍是重型LN临床研究重点。Objective :To retrospectively analyze the long-term outcome of patients with diffuse proliferative lupus nephropathy (DPLN) and prognostic factors. Methodology:Four hundred and forty-one Chinese patients (females 377 and males 64 with mean of 29.6±9.85 years old) with biopsy-proven DPLN (ISN/RPS2003 classification criteria) were collected in this study. The patient and renal survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess the risk factors associated with end stage renal disease (ESRD). Results: All patients were followed for (60.8±43.3) months with the median of 61 months. 15 patients died, and the patient survival at 5 and 10 year was 96.5% and 92% respectively. 28 cases developed ESRF, the renal survival at 5 and 10 year was 94.5% and 86. 4% respectively. Baseline serum creatinine (SCr)≥132.6μmol/L ( HR 6. 54), renal CI ≥3 ( HR 3.52 ), AI ≥ 10 ( HR 2. 10), with renal vascular lesion ( HR 10. 37 ) or type V lesion ( HR 2. 80), and no remission after induction treatments ( HR 10. 22) or relapse during follow-up ( HR 6.13 ) were independent risk factors for developing ESRD. 71 patients was performed re-biopsy because of no remission after the induction treatment or relapse during mainte- nance period, among them 17 (23.9%) showed renal histological transformation from class IV to class IV + V. Adverse effects included infection ( 21.3% ), menstrual disorders ( 20. 2% ), elevation of liver enzyme ( 4. 5% ), leucopenia (2.7%), diabetes mellitus (2. 3% ), hypersensitiveness ( 1.4% ) , psychiatric symptom (0.9%), avascular necrosis (5.4%), deep vein thrombosis (0. 9% ), and upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage (0. 7% ), skin cancer (0. 2% ) and mesothelial cell tumor (0. 2% ). Conclusion:Long-term patient and renal survival rate were high in this group of patients with DPLN. The patients with renal vascular lesion, no remission after indu
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