西部煤制油项目可容纳规模与能源替代效应分析  

Analysis on the Acceptable Scale and Energy Substitution Effects of the Coal Conversion to Oil Projects in Western China

作　　者：孟磊[1] 郭菊娥[1] 席酉民[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学管理学院,陕西西安710049

出　　处：《预测》2008年第4期75-80,共6页Forecasting

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70773091)

摘　　要："煤制油"技术在科学上称为煤基液体燃料合成技术,分为直接液化和间接液化两种方式,其产品是柴油、石油的替代产品。本文在分析国内外煤制油项目开发技术与研究成果的基础上,提出了煤制油项目的技术参数,给出了西部煤制油项目对原煤、原油生产、消费及综合净调动结构的影响机理,利用2004年的统计数据,对不同方案下西部煤制油项目的可容纳规模进行测算分析,揭示了不同方案下西部煤制油项目开发对原煤、原油等能源生产、消费及调动结构的影响程度和产生的效应,提出了煤制油项目开发的政策建议。“Coal conversion to oil” technology is called coal-based liquid fuel synthesis technology in state. There＇ re two ways： direct liquefaction and indirect liquefaction. The products can be used as substitute of diesel oil and gasoline. Based on the analysis of coal liquefaction techniques and researches home and abroad, the technical parameters of the conversion projects are brought forward. The impact mechanism of the projects on production, consumption and transportation structure of coal and crude oil is studied to calculate the acceptable scale under different schemes and to analyze the influences. Policy suggestions about the development of coal conversion to oil projects are out forward in the end.

关 键 词：煤制油项目 规模测算 影响机理 西部能源 

分 类 号：F407.21[经济管理—产业经济]