基于短期降雨预报信息的水库汛期库水位实时动态控制方法研究  

Study on real-time dynamic operation of reservoir level in flood season based on short-term rainfall forecast information

作　　者：袁晶瑄[1] 王本德[1] 王福兴[1] 李福威[2] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学土木水利学院,辽宁大连116024 [2]国电电力发展股份有限公司桓仁发电厂,辽宁桓仁县117201

出　　处：《水力发电学报》2008年第4期15-19,共5页Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50479056);国家科技支撑计划课题(2006BAB14B05)

摘　　要：本文以提高洪水资源与水能资源利用率为目标,研究利用短期降雨预报成果指导水库汛期库水位实时动态控制。实例表明,在不降低原设计防洪标准前提下,可使桓仁水库发电效益明显增加。本文研究方法对北方水资源短缺地区大型水库或调节性能较高的发电为主兼防洪水库汛期实时调度也有较好的借鉴意义。Aimed at the improvement of utilization rates of water power and water resources in flood season, the dynamic operation method of reservoir level based on short-term rainfall forecast information is studied for Huanren reservoir. Compared with the original design of the reservoir flood operation, it shows that the real-time operation method can increase the hydropower generation benefits without bringing any more flood risk. This studied method can also be applied to other reservoirs, especially in the water shortage region of North China.

关 键 词：防洪工程 预蓄预泄法 模糊推理 库水位实时动态控制 短期降雨预报 

分 类 号：TV697.11[水利工程—水利水电工程]