舰空导弹设计方案评估的证据理论模型  

Evidence Theory Model of Design Scheme Evaluation of Ship-to-air Missile

作　　者：冷宣兵[1] 王平[1] 陈长宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学管理工程系,武汉430033

出　　处：《科学技术与工程》2008年第17期4990-4993,共4页Science Technology and Engineering

摘　　要：舰空导弹设计方案评估中存在很多不确定性。在构建舰空导弹设计方案评估指标体系的基础上,建立了证据理论评估模型,给出了具体计算步骤。仿真实例证明该方法较好地解决了评估中的不确定性问题,有一定的可行性和实用性,为优化舰空导弹设计方案提供了决策依据。There is much problem of uncertainty in the design scheme evaluation of ship-to-air missile. The evidence theory evaluation model is established based on the indicators system and the calculation process is given. The simulation example shows that the model can preferably resolve the problem of uncertainty and is feasible and practicable,which provides the decision-making basis for the improvement of the design scheme.

关 键 词：舰空导弹 设计方案评估 不确定性 证据理论 

分 类 号：TJ760.1[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]