北京城区客运交通资本存量的估算与分析  

Estimation and Analysis of Cumulative Amount of Fixed Capital of Passenger Transport in City Zone of Beijing

作　　者：刘冬梅 齐彤岩[2] 张可 

机构地区：[1]北京中交国通智能交通系统技术有限公司,北京100088 [2]北京工业大学,北京100022 [3]国家智能交通系统工程技术研究中心,北京100088

出　　处：《交通运输系统工程与信息》2008年第4期96-100,共5页Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology

基　　金：北京交通发展研究中心咨询项目(CZ20040901)

摘　　要：参考永续盘存法,给出客运交通行业资本存量的计算模型,然后以北京市城区为例,分别计算了2000年和2005年北京市城区道路基础设施、交通管理设施、公共交通场站、停车场、轨道交通基础设施、各客运车辆等资本存量.结果表明,北京市在"十五"期间交通基础设施资本存量、车辆资本存量两者增速基本上保持一致,交通基础设施资本储备加大,顶住了车辆保有量增加的压力.同时,本文认为客运交通资本存量,是道路长度、车辆保有量、停车场泊位数等基础设施供给能力与车辆供给能力的综合货币表现,可作为了解、评价至某时间、此地区交通供给能力的综合指标之一.with reference to perpetual inventory method, this paper first constructes the cumulative amount of fixed capital model of passenger transport, and then calculates the cumulative amount of fixed capital of road infrastructures, traffic management infrastructures, public transport park, social car park, rail traffic infrastructures, and passenger vehicles, respectively. The result shows that the growth of traffic infrastructures＇ cumulative amount of fixed capital is similar to the passenger vehicles＇ during the 10th five-year pian in Beijing. The capital reserve of transport infrastructure grew quickly enough to resist the press of the growth of vehicle volume. Furthermore, this paper considers that the cumulative amount of the fixed capital of passenger transport which is expressed in currency can be one index which evaluates the transport supply comprehensive in one area till one time.

关 键 词：城市交通 资本存量 供给能力 永续盘存法 估算 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]