中国经济圈旅游乘数对比实证研究——兼议广西旅游发展战略  

Demonstration Research on Tourism Multipliers of China's Economic Belts and Development Strategy of Guangxi Tourism

作　　者：岑先梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西师范大学经济管理学院,广西桂林541004

出　　处：《国土资源科技管理》2008年第4期112-116,共5页Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources

摘　　要："泛北部湾经济圈"提出使北部湾地区成为中国经济增长的第四极。在此框架下,以生产函数模型为基础,推导出旅游收入模型和旅游收入乘数,并实证地对我国南方三大经济圈的旅游乘数和固定资产投资乘数进行比较。结果表明:广西近年来的投资对广西总体经济的拉动效应大于珠江三角洲和长江三角洲这两个发达地区经济圈。而且相对于固定资产投资来说,广西发展旅游业更能推动当地经济的发展。同时为广西如何更好地融入"泛北部湾旅游圈"提出了建议。The initiation of Pan-Beibu Gulf Economic Belt will make the Beibu Gulf region the forth economic pole of China. On the basis of production model, this paper deduces tourism receipts model and tourism receipts multiplier, concluding that in the recent years the investment has a much stronger pulling influence on the whole economy of Guangxi than on the advanced economic circles of Zhujiang Delta and Changjiang Delta. The paper argues that tourism plays a more important role than investment in the local development of Guangxi and offers some suggestions for the better agreement of Guangxi with Pan-Beibu Gulf Tourism Belt.

关 键 词：泛北部湾经济圈 旅游合作机制 计量经济模型 旅游收入乘数 固定资产投资乘数 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]