基于模糊层次分析法的民用机场安全风险管理  

Risk Management for Civil Airports Safety Based on Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process

作　　者：王燕青[1] 张秀艳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学安全科学与工程学院,天津副教授300300

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2008年第6期116-120,共5页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：中国民航大学科研启动基金资助(05qd09s)

摘　　要：以某一民用机场为例,基于"人-机-环境-管理"的系统工程理论,分析该机场影响飞行安全的各影响因素。利用三角模糊数来表征专家判断信息,构造三角模糊数互补判断矩阵。依据模糊层次分析法,对各影响因素进行单排序和总排序,得到其重要性的排序。模糊层次分析法可以更加客观地描述专家判断的模糊性,并且计算过程简单。基于模糊层次分析法的安全风险管理不仅能够客观地评估民航的安全状态,而且对于有重点地改善民用机场安全有着积极的作用。Taking a civil airport as an example, the factors affecting the fly safety in this airport were analyzed according to the system engineering theory of ＂man-machine-environment -management＂. Then, a triangular fuzzy complementary judgment matrix was constructed with the experts＇judgment information expressed by triangular fuzzy numbers. Through calculation by use of fuzzy AHP （Analytical Hierarchy Process）, the general importance of each factor was obtained and ranked, which provided basis for the risk management of civil airports. Fuzzy AHP can describe the fuzziness of experts＇judgment objectively and is simple in calculation. So, this approach not only objectively assesses the safety status of civil airports, but also is helpful to the improvement of safety management.

关 键 词：民用机场 安全风险管理 模糊层次分析法 层次结构模型 三角模糊互利 判断矩阵 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学] F560.81[经济管理—产业经济]