基于灰色理论的鱼雷装载可靠性分析  

Research on torpedo loading reliability based on grey system theory

作　　者：李宗吉[1] 任德奎[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学兵器新技术应用研究所,武汉430033

出　　处：《海军工程大学学报》2008年第4期8-11,44,共5页Journal of Naval University of Engineering

摘　　要：为解决在鱼雷装载可靠度试验数据较少的情况下进行装载可靠性分析困难的问题,利用灰色系统理论及GM(1,2)建模的思想,研究了鱼雷装载可靠度和工作可靠度之间的灰色关系,基于灰色系统理论建立了两者之间关系的数学模型。计算实例表明,该方法简单实用,可在鱼雷装载可靠度数据样本量较少的情况下对鱼雷装载可靠度进行有效预测,为鱼雷装载可靠度的评定提供了理论参考。In order to solve the difficulty in analyzing the torpedo loading reliability for lack of experiment data of loading reliability, the relationship between torpedo loading reliability and working relia- bility was analyzed, and the model was established by using fuzzy regression theory and GM（1,2） model. The application of the real data proves that this method is so easy and realistic as to be used to predict the loading reliability which is lacking in experiment data from the equipping reliability. And these forecast results provide a lot of reference data for assessing the torpedo loading reliability.

关 键 词：灰色系统理论 鱼雷装载可靠度 鱼雷工作可靠度 预测 

分 类 号：TJ63[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]