我国长江、黄河流域地区棉花单产影响因素分析——基于河南省、江苏省、山东省的调查  

Study on Influencing Factors of Cotton Yield In Yangtze River and Yellow River Areas:Based on the Survey in Henan,Jiangsu and Shandong

作　　者：肖双喜[1] 刘小和[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《技术经济》2008年第9期94-97,110,共5页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：中央公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金的资助;中国农业科学院刘小和研究员主持项目"大宗农产品供求形势分析与预测"成果之一

摘　　要：棉花单产的增加是保证我国棉花供给的重要途径。基于我国河南、江苏、山东三省农户调查数据,本文构建了我国棉花单产影响因素模型。模型计算的结果表明,棉花的人工、化肥、农药、地膜、灌溉及其他项投入已经达到或超过最佳投入点,而技术培训与农业基础设施则远远落后于最佳投入点,这是现阶段提高我国棉花单产的潜力所在。最后,本文指出政府应加大对棉花主产区农业技术推广和农村基础设施投资力度,以提高我国棉花单产。The increasing of cotton yield is the most important to steady the cotton supply. This paper brings forward a model on cotton yield to analyze the influencing factors. The results of calculation show that,labor, fertilizer,pesticide,mulch and irrigation inputs have reached or have exceeded the optimal equilibrium point, but the cotton farmer＇s technical training and infrastructure investment are far behind the optimal equilibrium point. Finally,it indicates that the increasing of cotton yield mainly relies on the improvement of cotton farmer＇s production technology level as well as the agricultural infrastructure investment.

关 键 词：棉花 单产 影响因素 

分 类 号：F326.12[经济管理—产业经济]