煤层突出危险性预测的可拓方法  

The Extension Method for Risk Prediction of Coal Seams Outburst

作　　者：刘金海[1] 冯涛[1] 谢东海[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室

出　　处：《湖南科技大学学报（自然科学版）》2008年第3期28-31,共4页Journal of Hunan University of Science And Technology：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(50674047);国家安全总局资助项目(07-210);湖南省重点科技攻关项目(05sk2008)

摘　　要：合理选择突出主控因素及预测方法是提高煤层突出危险预测准确性的有效途径.首先探讨了煤层突出危险性的影响因素,并确定了煤层突出的主控因素.然后将可拓理论用于煤层突出危险性预测,建立了煤层突出危险性预测的可拓方法.最后以淮南矿区部分煤样为例进行了分析.实例应用表明,该方法计算简便,预测结果可靠,实用性强,为煤层突出危险性预测提供了一种新方法.表3,参13.Selecting control factors and prediction method rationally was an effective way to improve accuracy of risk prediction of coal seams outburst. Influence factors of coal seams outburst risk were discussed, and the control factors affecting coal seams outburst was selected. The extension theory was applied, and the extension method was established, Some coal samples from Huainan mining area were analyzed. Application shows that the method is simple, reliable and applicative, and is a new method for risk prediction of coal seams outburst.

关 键 词：煤层突出危险性 预测 可拓 关联度 

分 类 号：TD713[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]