国外基于CGE模型的旅游经济影响评价研究  

Study on the Oversea Evaluation of Economic Impact of Tourism Based on Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) Model

作　　者：宋涛[1] 牛亚菲[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

出　　处：《旅游学刊》2008年第10期23-28,共6页Tourism Tribune

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(40671055)

摘　　要：本文首次概述了可计算一般均衡模型(CGE)在国外旅游经济影响研究中的领域及其研究视角,对比分析了CGE模型与其他主要旅游经济影响评价方法的差异。最后,本文也论及了旅游CGE模型的未来发展趋势:旅游CGE模型能纳入更多的经济体的现实特征和旅游相关数据,对旅游的经济影响问题进行深入分析;为旅游相关政策、决策的制定提供科学依据;为特殊事件的旅游经济影响评价提供准确的测量工具。The paper for the first time systematically summarizes the development of CGE model in the study realm and perspective of oversea economic impact of tourism. Then the authors compare the difference of CGE model with other major evaluation methods about economic impact of tourism. Finally, the paper discusses the future trend for the development of CGE Model： embodying more real characters and tourism-related data and making in-depth analysis of economic impact of tourism; providing scientific basis for the formulation of tourism-related policies and decision-making and offering accurate tools for measurement to assess economic impact of special events.

关 键 词：CGE模型 旅游经济影响 研究述评 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]