我国省际产业集聚与经济收敛性特征及其相互关系的经验研究  

The Empirical Study on the Characteristic of the Convergence across Chinese Provinces and Industrial Agglomeration and Their Relationship

作　　者：孙巍[1] 李菁[2] 王鹏[2] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学数量经济研究中心,吉林长春130012 [2]吉林大学商学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《税务与经济》2008年第5期1-7,共7页Taxation and Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:70572030);国家教育部人文社会科学制度研究基地重大项目(项目编号:06JJD790014);吉林大学985工程"中国宏观经济分析与预测"创新基地资助项目(项目编号:985CXJD015)

摘　　要：采用变异系数和β收敛模型等经济敛散性度量工具,对1992～2004年期间我国省际经济收敛性的阶段性特征进行了定量分析和检验;采用产业集聚度指标和聚类分析方法对这段时期省际经济的产业集聚状况进行了详细分析;在此基础上,对产业集聚与经济收敛的关系,即产业集聚是否会影响到地区间经济差距的扩大与缩小以及影响程度如何进行了实证检验。结果表明,在1992～2004年间。我国省际之间经济存在先条件收敛、后绝对发散、再到敛散状况不明显三个阶段,并且其敛散性与产业集聚状况存在显著的相关关系;在不同的时期,产业集聚对区域经济敛散性的影响也不同。This paper analyzes the stage characteristics of the convergence across Chinese provinces between 1992 and 2004 through the use of relevant methods such as the coefficient of variance and the β - convergence models. After considering the situations of the industrial agglomeration in the same periods, we verify the relationship between the industrial agglomeration and the convergence across Chinese provinces, that is to say, whether the industrial agglomeration has an effect on the convergence across Chinese provinces and how important the effect is. The empirical study result shows that the convergence of regional incomes exits only in the periods of 1992 to 1996, the opposite tendency appears in 1996 to 2000 and neither the convergence nor the divergence of regional incomes exits after 2000. The industrial agglomeration has an obvious effect on the convergence across Chinese provinces but their concrete relationship is different during different periods.

关 键 词：区域经济 经济收敛 产业集聚 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]