新疆能源消费对经济增长的影响分析  

Analysis of the impact of energy consumption on economic growth in Xinjiang

作　　者：邢纪平[1] 柴军[1] 苗红萍[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《能源研究与信息》2008年第3期142-147,共6页Energy Research and Information

摘　　要：近几年来,新疆的经济保持了稳定快速的增长势头,但与经济增长密切相关的能源消耗率却居高不下。新疆地区的经济发展是以能源的高消耗为代价的,正处在一个能源消耗强度较高的时期。运用Logistic模型来分析新疆的能源消费与经济增长之间的定量关系;并采用边际和弹性经济分析的方法,量化能源消费所带来的经济增长。研究结果表明,新疆能源消费量对经济增长(GDP)的拉动作用正逐渐弱化,边际报酬和弹性系数都随能源消费量的增加而减少。The economy in Xinjiang, especially the industrial economy, has increased rapidly and steadily in recent years. However, the related energy consumption rate is still at a high level. The economy in Xinjiang region is thus developing rapidly at the cost of high energy consumption and is just now in a period of high energy consumption. In this paper, a logistic model is used to analyze the relationship between the energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang quantitatively. Moreover. the methods of marginal and elasticity analysis are used to determine the economic growth resulting from energy consumption. The results show that the function of energy consumption in promoting economic growth is fading away, and marginal revenue and coefficient of elasticity are decreasing with increasing energy consumption in Xinjiang.

关 键 词：能源消费 经济增长 边际分析 弹性 新疆 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F127F206