地方财政一般预算收入主要影响因素的实证分析  

Analysis of Main Effective Factors in Local Financial Budgetary Revenue

作　　者：樊孝菊[1] 周伦[2] 

机构地区：[1]襄樊学院,湖北襄樊441053 [2]许昌学院数学科学学院,河南许昌461000

出　　处：《科技创业月刊》2008年第10期63-64,68,共3页Journal of Entrepreneurship in Science & Technology

摘　　要：运用多元线性回归分析的基本理论,利用SPSS13.0统计软件对湖北省、武汉市和襄樊市的地方财政一般预算收入的主要影响因素进行了定量分析和比较。研究结果表明,襄樊市的第一产业生产总值对地方财政一般预算收入的影响相对最为显著;湖北省、武汉市的第二产业生产总值对地方财政一般预算收入的影响相对最为显著;还可看到武汉市的第二产业生产总值对地方财政一般预算收入的贡献明显高于全省的总水平。Main effective factors in local finance budgetary revenue in Hubei Province, Wuhan, Xiangfan are quantitively ana- lyzed and compared by using general theory in multivariate linear regression analysis and statistical software SPSS 13.0. The derived conclusion is that the production of the first industry effects local finance budgetary revenue most significantly in Xiangfan, compared with Hubei Province and Wuhan, While the production of the second industry exerts most significant effect on local finance budgetary revenue in Hubei Province and Wuhan. In addition, the contribution of production of the second industry in Wuhan is higher than the average level in Hubei Province.

关 键 词：最小二乘估计 逐步回归 统计检验和诊断 影响因素 

分 类 号：F810.6[经济管理—财政学]