矿区生态系统健康预测模型及实证分析  

Ecosystem Health Prediction Model for Mining Area and Demonstration Analysis

作　　者：闫旭骞[1,2] 林大泽[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京),北京100083 [2]西部矿业股份有限公司,青海西宁810001

出　　处：《矿业研究与开发》2008年第5期72-73,共2页Mining Research and Development

基　　金：国家软科学研究计划资助项目(2006GXS2D097)

摘　　要：矿区生态系统健康预测模型是矿区生态系统健康评价理论的重要组成部分,是实现矿区生态系统健康管理的有效途径。结合矿区复合生态系统的特点,建立了研究矿区生态系统健康灰色预测模型,并对研究矿区进行了预测。结果表明:研究矿区的生态系统健康状况呈下降趋势,应加强矿区生态系统的管理和调控,以促使其向良好的方向发展。Ecosystem health prediction model for mining area is an important component part of mining area ecosystem health （MAEH） assessment theory, and is an effective way to realize MAEH management. In view of the characteristics of compound ecosystem in mining area, a gray prediction model for MAEH was established. And a prediction was made on the ecosystem health of some studied mining area, the results showed that the ecosystem health state of the studied mining area presents a drop tendency, so therefore, it is necessary to strengthen the management and regulation of ecosystem of the mining area, in order to urge the ecosystem to develop to the good direction.

关 键 词：矿区 生态系统健康 灰色模型 实证分析 

分 类 号：TD76[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全] TD88