可计算非线性动态IO模型与效益可能性曲线  

Computable nonlinear dynamic IO model and benefit possibility curve

作　　者：张金水[1] 郝晓红[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《系统工程学报》2008年第5期577-581,610,共6页Journal of Systems Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70571047);清华大学中国与世界经济研究中心资助项目

摘　　要：将线性 Leontief 动态投入产出模型推广,得到可计算非线性动态投入产出模型,并利用中国石化的实际数据,构造出以勘探和开发、炼油和化工、销售3个环节为主的石油企业的非线性动态投入产出模型,然后推导出该企业的企业效益可能性曲线.最后利用效益可能性曲线,对国内石油企业和国际大石油公司的效益进行分析和比较.In this paper, linear Leontief dynamic input output （IO） model is extended to get the nonlinear dynamic IO model, and based on the practical data of Sinopec, a nonlinear dynamic IO model is structured out for the oil enterprise whose production can be included into three steps, exploration and production, refining and chemicals, and marketing. By using this model, a benefit possibility curve can be created. With this curve, a comparison is made finally between domestic oil enterprise and overseas oil enterprise.

关 键 词：非线性动态投入产出模型 石油企业 效益分析 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]