产业结构调整的能源消费约束研究  

The Structure Adjustment and Energy Consumption in Industry

作　　者：欧晓万[1] 

机构地区：[1]中共韶关市委党校,广东韶关512026

出　　处：《甘肃科学学报》2008年第3期151-155,共5页Journal of Gansu Sciences

摘　　要：基于协整理论,对我国三次产业产出与其能源消费的相关数据进行了分析和实证检验.研究表明:能源消费对我国产业结构调整存在长期与短期约束;我国产业结构的优化升级并未带来人们预期的产业能源消费弹性下降,其主要原因是第三产业的能源消费弹性大,第三产业、第二产业内部结构不合理所至.在未来的产业结构调整中应通过科学制定和实施国家产业政策、坚持走新型工业化道路等来实现我国产业结构的高度化以及与能源消费的协调一致.Based on the cointegration theory, this data related to three industries＇ output value and their energy consumption are analyzed. The result proves that there are long-term and short-term constraints of the energy consumption to the industry structure adjustment. The industrial structure optimization has not resulted in the elastic drop of the energy consumption as expected. The major causes are the rich elasticity of the third industry and the unreasonable interior structure of the second and the third industries. In order to achieve the coordination of the advanced industry structure and energy consumption, we should make and carry out the industrial policy scientifically and persist in taking a new road to industrialization during industry structure adjustment.

关 键 词：产业结构 能源消费约束 误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济] TK018[动力工程及工程热物理]