基于马尔可夫链的中国与东盟五国农产品比较优势预测  

Markov Chain Based for Predicting the Comparative Advantages of Farm Produce in China and Five Countries of ASEAN

作　　者：王文中[1] 庄丽娟[1] 周文良[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学,广东广州510000

出　　处：《南昌航空大学学报（社会科学版）》2008年第3期38-44,共7页Journal of Nanchang Hangkong University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(07E08);广东省普通高校人文社科重点研究基地重点项目(06JDXM790003);华南农业大学校长基金项目(4700-k0b189)资助

摘　　要：比较优势的变化是决定国际贸易变动的关键因素。本文构建了基于马尔可夫链的比较优势预测模型,预测了我国和东盟农产品比较优势的变化趋势,对提高我国农产品比较优势地位的措施进行了有益探索。The change of Comparative Advantage is one of key factors forecast model for Comparative Advantage based on Markov chain Advantage of farm produce in China and ASEAN. The measures to produce are explored valuably. to lead to the change of international trade. In this paper, a is proposed. It predicted the change trend on Comparative promote the status of Comparative Advantage of China＇s farm

关 键 词：中国 东盟 马尔可夫链 农产品 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]