劳动力流动对中国地区经济差距影响的空间计量经济模型分析  

A Spatial Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Labor Migration on the Disparity of Regional Economic Development in China

作　　者：于艳萍[1] 张秀华[1] 钱争鸣[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2008年第11期25-31,共7页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金项目<劳动力"迁移谜题(Migrationpuzzle)"及其影响效应研究>(07JC790048);教育部人文社会科学2007年度重大项目<中国地区间收入分配差异与劳动力转移的经济增长效应分析>(07JJD790145)

摘　　要：学术界对劳动力流动对地区经济发展产生的影响有两种不同观点:一种观点认为劳动力流动能够缩小地区差距;另一种观点则认为劳动力流动会扩大地区发展差距。考虑各地区经济发展的空间依赖性,通过构建空间计量经济模型,并利用中国各省区经济的面板数据进行研究与实证分析。结果表明:劳动力流动对中国不同地区经济发展的作用方向和强度表现不同,对地区差距的影响是劳动力流入与劳动力流出综合作用产生的结果。Labor migration has significant influences on regional economic development. There are two opposing views on such influences. One view suggests that labor migration narrows regional economic disparity while the other persists in that labor migration broadens regional economic disparity. Based on China＇s provincial economic data, this paper constructs spatial econometric model for empirical analyses after taking the spatial dependence among regions into account. The empirical results show that labor migration exerts different impacts on economic development in different regions. In particular, there are the different impact direction and effect intensity in different region. Regional economic disparity is the influent results of labor outflow and labor inflow integrated efforts.

关 键 词：劳动力流动 地区经济差距 空间计量经济模型 

分 类 号：J610[艺术—音乐] O150[理学—数学]