现代归纳逻辑性向解释面临的困境与发展  

On the Dilemma and Development of Propensity Interpretation of the Modern Inductive Logic

作　　者：李旭燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西师范学院政法学院,广西南宁530001

出　　处：《广西师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）》2008年第4期152-156,共5页Journal of Guangxi Teachers Education University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：教育部重大攻关课题<现代归纳逻辑的创新功能与应用及其认知基础研究>(05JZD008);广西教育厅科研课题<现代归纳逻辑的哲学研究>(200801LX420)

摘　　要：性向解释是在频率解释不能解决单个事件概率的情形下由波普尔提出来的。虽然波普尔的性向解释也没有解决为单个事件引入客观概率的问题,但与频率解释相比,它对概率论应用的情形提供了有用的扩展,并且"性向"这个术语并不仅仅适用于他自己的观点。由此,后期波普尔、米勒和费塞特发展了单个事例性向解释,吉利斯发展了长趋势性向解释。The propensity interpretation was put forward by Popper in the condition that frequency interpretation cannot resolve probabilities of single events. Though Popper＇ s propensity interpretation does not succeed in resolving the problem of introducing objective probabilities for single events, it provides a valuable extension to the situations in which probability theory applies as compared to frequency interpretation. And the term ＂propensity＂ has a broader sense. Therefore, Popper, Miller and Fetzer later evolved propensity interpretation for single case, and Gillies developed long - run propensity interpretation.

关 键 词：性向解释 单个事件 客观概率 

分 类 号：B81-06[哲学宗教—逻辑学]