北半球和中国气候的模拟及1996年汛期预测的试验及检验  

CLIMATIC SIMULATIONS OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE/CHINA AND THE EXPERIMENT AND INSPECTION OF FLOOD PERIOD PREDICTION IN 1996

作　　者：高学杰[1] 赵宗慈[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家气候中心

出　　处：《应用气象学报》1997年第A00期145-153,共9页Journal of Applied Meteorological Science

基　　金："九五"国家科委重中之重项目

摘　　要：该文用ＯＳＵ／ＳＺ／ＺＷ全球大气环流模式耦合全球混合层海洋与海冰模式对北半球及中国气候进行了模拟，与实况场的对比检验说明模式对北半球及中国气候具有一定的模拟能力．同时，利用该模式作了１９９６年汛期预报，对其主要预报结果与实况场进行对比与检验后表明：该模式对大气环流场、Ｎｉｎｏ区海温、中国区域降水等有一定的预报能力．By using the atmospheric GCM/mixed layer ocean and sea ice model(OSU/SZ/ZW), the climatic simulations of the Northern Hemisphere and China were made. The inspections compared with the observations show that the model has a certain ability for these simulations. Meanwhile, the flood period prediction of 1996 was made by the model. The contrast between the forecast and the observation shows that the forecast is successful and the model is able to predict general circulation, SST over the Nino areas and regional precipitation in China for summer season.

关 键 词：耦合模式 气候模拟 汛期预报 大气环流 北半球 

分 类 号：P457[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P435