水系统多准则决策研究进展  

Development of Multi-criteria Analysis Method for Water Resources System

作　　者：赵鸣雁[1] 陈吉宁[1] 王白陆[2] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学环境系系统分析研究所,北京100084 [2]海河水利委员会科技咨询中心,天津300170

出　　处：《水文》2008年第6期8-11,92,共5页Journal of China Hydrology

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)资助项目(2006CB403407);欧盟第六框架计划资助项目(032397)

摘　　要：本文对应用于水资源系统的多准则分析方法的研究进展情况从五个方面进行了综述,总结了水资源多准则决策的发展趋势,并指出提高多准则决策模型的初始结构,解决多准则分析模型的风险和不确定性问题,以及解决多准则、多用户及群决策问题是今后多准则决策在水资源系统的发展方向。This paper summarized the multi-criteria analysis methods utilized for water resources system in five aspects. Furthermore, the perspectives of multi-criteria analysis methods in water resources system were prospected. It also pointed that it is the future development trend for the water resources multi-criteria decision making system to improve the original structure of multi-criteria analysis model, resolve the multi-criteria analysis model＇s risk and uncertainty conditions, and resolve multi-criteria, muhi-users and multi-decisions problems.

关 键 词：水资源系统 决策 多准则分析 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]