熵权模糊综合评判法在人口综合发展评价模型中的应用  

The Application of Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method for the Population Development Evaluation Model Based on Weight of Entropy

作　　者：陈仲常[1] 杨琳[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学贸易与行政学院,重庆400044

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2008年第12期26-30,共5页Journal of Statistics and Information

摘　　要：统筹解决人口问题是中国实现经济发展、社会进步和可持续发展面临的重大而紧迫的战略任务。从人口综合发展指标体系出发,针对人口综合发展评价中客观存在的模糊性与随机性,将信息论汇总的熵值理论引入人口综合发展评价模型中,利用熵权法与模糊综合评判对全国及四个直辖市的人口综合发展状况进行评价检验,证明把该方法应用于人口综合发展评价模型具有较高的可信度。A intergral plan to solve the population problem as a whole is an important and urgent strategic task, which makes economic development, social progress and sustainable development come true. This paper starts from the population comprehensive development index system, considering the fuzziness and randomness objectively existing in the population comprehensive development evaluation, summarizes the entropy theory of the information to introduce into the population development comprehensive evaluation model, uses the entropy theory and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to appraise and test the population comprehensive development status about the nation and four municipalities, and demonstrates that the used in the population development comprehensive evaluation model has a high credibility.

关 键 词：人口综合发展评价模型 熵权法 模糊综合评判 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学] O212.4[理学—概率论与数理统计]