云模型在水资源供求预测中的应用  

Applications of Cloud Model in Predicting Water Resource Supply and Demand

作　　者：邵帅[1] 梁少卫[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北民族大学计算机科学与信息工程学院,甘肃兰州730030

出　　处：《西北民族大学学报（自然科学版）》2008年第3期79-82,94,共5页Journal of Northwest Minzu University(Natural Science)

摘　　要：云模型是表示某个定性概念与其定量表示之间不确定性转换模型,它将概念的模糊性和随机性结合在一起,对不确定性问题的解决有着很强的鲁棒性.文章将云模型运用于水资源供求预测中,初步解决了水资源预测中所存在的模糊性和随机性问题.实验结果表明,该方法预测精度优于普通预测方法,与实际值基本吻合.The cloud model is a mathematical representation of fuzziness and randomness, it can realize the transformation between the qualitative when the fuzziness and randomness are integrated together, it has strong robustness for the uncertain question. The prediction issue of water resource supply and demand was solver by using the cloud model in this article. The results showed that the precision of this method excelled normal methods, it was also in accord with the real ones.

关 键 词：云模型 水资源 预测 

分 类 号：O141.4[理学—数学]