汇率制度选择理论的回顾与展望  

The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime: Retrospect and Expectation

作　　者：赵玉平[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津商业大学经济学院,天津300134

出　　处：《当代经济管理》2008年第12期11-16,共6页Contemporary Economic Management

摘　　要：汇率制度选择一直是国际金融领域备受关注的一个问题。文章对汇率制度选择的研究方法及视角进行了总结,并对传统的汇率制度选择理论和汇率制度的新进展进行了论述,进而对未来汇率制度选择的研究进行了展望。认为:由于存在"恐浮",应该依据实际实行的汇率制度而不是官方宣布的汇率制度进行研究;从动态角度进行汇率制度转换的研究也是很重要的发展方向;应该对中间与两极汇率制度进行统一的界定,建立支持或反对"中空论"的严格理论框架。The choice of exchange rate regime has been paid more attention in international finance. This paper attempts to summarize the different research means in the first part ,reviews the theories in the second part , and points out the forward research direction in the choice of exchange rate regime at last. It argues that we should mak research according to de facto exchange rate regime because of fear of floating. Moreover, the transition of exchange rate regime will be an important research direction. And we should make it clear the＇definition of middle and the two poles exchange rate regime and establish rigid theory of ＂hollowing-out＂ .

关 键 词：汇率制度 汇率制度的选择 中空论 恐浮论 

分 类 号：F830.73[经济管理—金融学]