基于Logistic曲线的中国网民人数增长规律研究  

A Study on the Law of Chinese Internet-user Growth Based on Logistic Curve

作　　者：杨连峰[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]厦门理工学院商学系,福建厦门361024 [2]厦门大学管理学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《厦门理工学院学报》2008年第4期86-89,108,共5页Journal of Xiamen University of Technology

摘　　要：利用Logistic增长曲线研究了中国网民人数的增长情况,给出中国网民人数增长的Logistic曲线方程,并计算出中国网民规模增长的三个关键时间点,指出今后8到10年是中国互联网发展的黄金时期。Studied the growth of Chinese internet-users by logistic curve, gave a logistic equation of the growth, calculated three critical points which describe the growth of Chinese interact users, and judged that the following 8 to 10 years is the prime period for intemet development in china.

关 键 词：Logistic曲线 网民 非线性回归 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F49