敏感问题Simmons模型的(分层)整群抽样研究  

The Research of Stratified Cluster Sampling on Simmons Model for Sensitive Question Survey

作　　者：高歌[1] 范玉波[1] 

机构地区：[1]苏州大学公共卫生学院卫生统计与流行病学教研室,215123

出　　处：《中国卫生统计》2008年第6期562-565,569,共5页Chinese Journal of Health Statistics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(编号30571620)

摘　　要：目的为敏感性问题提供科学的较复杂抽样调查方法及其统计量的计算公式。方法Cochran W.G.的抽样理论及给出的抽样研究结果,随机应答技术的Simmons模型,全概率公式,方差的基本性质等理论与方法被利用。结果推导出二分类敏感问题随机应答技术Simmons模型在整群抽样、分层整群抽样下总体比例的估计量及其估计方差的计算公式,并对相应的调查方法与技术进行了科学的设计。结论本文提供的敏感问题Simmons模型下整群抽样、分层整群抽样的方法信度较高,值得推广应用。Objective To explore scientific sampling methods and corresponding formulas for sensitive question survey on the complicated sample method. Methods Cochran W. G.＇s classic sampling theories, Simmons model, total probability formulas and properties of variance were used in this paper. Results Formulas for the estimate of the population proportion and its variance on Simmons model in cluster sampling and stratified cluster sampling were deduced. Our survey methods and formulas on Simmons model may have an extensive application for sensitive question survey at Soochow University. Conclusion Our survey methods and formulas on Simmons model in cluster sampling and stratified cluster sampling are reliable.

关 键 词：敏感问题 Simmons模型 分层整群抽样 总体比例的估计 估计方差 

分 类 号：R195[医药卫生—卫生统计学]