我国城乡人口流动的驱动因素分析  

Analysis of the driving forces of rural-urban migration in the urbanization process of China

作　　者：励娜[1] 尹怀庭[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学城市与资源学系,陕西西安710127

出　　处：《西北大学学报（自然科学版）》2008年第6期1019-1023,共5页Journal of Northwest University（Natural Science Edition）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(05BJL073);陕西省自然科学基金资助项目(2004D11)

摘　　要：目的分析中国城乡人口流动的时间和区域趋势及驱动因素。方法利用统计年鉴提供的数据,采用多元回归分析的方法对中国城乡人口流动作了时间纵向和区域横向的回归分析,对回归结果进行讨论。结果中国城乡人口流动主要是受到城乡收入差距和耕地有限的驱动,经济发展对人口流动有积极的推动作用。同时,中国城乡人口流动有随时间减缓的趋势。结论中国城乡人口流动有向大城市和东南沿海极化的倾向,政府须做好应对准备,走健康城市化道路。Aim To analyze the time and region trend and the driving forces of rural-urban migration in China. Methods Analysis with time-series and cross-section data provided or calculated by the yearbook, using the multiple linear regression method. Results China＇s urban-rnral migration is mainly influenced by the income gap between rural and urban and limited plowland, economic development has a positive effect on migration. Meanwhile China＇s rural -urban migration has a descending trend along with time. Conclusion China＇s rural-urban migration has a trend which rural labor force is polarized to metropolitan and the coast area, the government should take some actions to go on a healthy urbanization road.

关 键 词：城市化 城乡人口流动 驱动因素 

分 类 号：K901.3[历史地理—人文地理学]