就业结构变化与经济增长关系的实证研究——基于中国三大经济区域省级面板数据的计量分析  

Empirical Study on Relationship between Labor Structure Change and Regional Economy Development Based on Econometric Analysis of Provincial Panel-Data of China’s Three Economy Regions

作　　者：刘建党[1] 

机构地区：[1]综合开发研究院(中国.深圳),广东深圳518029

出　　处：《深圳职业技术学院学报》2008年第4期40-44,共5页Journal of Shenzhen Polytechnic

摘　　要：20世纪90年代,中国的就业结构变化曾出现过异常,其对经济增长的消极作用起主导地位,并且,当期的消极作用大于其它时期的积极作用,导致综合结构效应为负数,中国的经济增长经验不支持"structural bonus"假说;随着就业结构变化的增大,其对经济增长的积极作用不断增强,综合结构效应的绝对值逐渐减小;中国区域经济增长的结构效应呈现:东部>西部>中部,并且,东部地区的结构效应趋于稳定,中西部地区的结构效应逐渐增强;中国经济增长具有较强的惯性,随着经济增长率的上升,经济增长的惯性增强。Labor structure change has ever been out of the way in 1990s＇ characterized by a prevalent negative effect on economic growth, resulted in a negative structure effect, and china＇s economy development failed to support ＂structural bonus＂ theory. With labor structure change going higher, the positive effect is improved and the absolute value of total structure effect becomes smaller, and the structure effect in china＇s regional economy development presents a pattern of eastern 〉western 〉middle, with eastern area＇s structure effect going steady while the middle and the western areas＇ becoming stronger. It is pointed out that China＇s regional economy development has strong inertia, which becomes stronger with economy development rate rising.

关 键 词：就业结构变化 经济增长 结构效应 面板数据 固定效应模型 

分 类 号：F121[经济管理—世界经济]