地震对磷产品供应链的影响分析及应对策略  

Effect Analysis of the Earthquake on Phosphorus Supply Chains and Countermeasure Research

作　　者：张松[1] 佟仁城[1] 汪寿阳[2] 尤佳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院研究生院管理学院,北京100190 [2]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100190

出　　处：《管理评论》2008年第12期30-34,共5页Management Review

摘　　要：基于单制造商和两个零售商的磷产品国际供应链,分析了制造商和零售商在地震导致磷矿石价格上涨及产能受损情况下的最优应对策略。进而分析了政府该如何根据磷矿和磷化工企业在地震中的受灾程度,调整磷产品特殊出口关税,避免对全国磷肥市场及农业生产产生重大影响。数值仿真结果表明,政府通过适当调整磷产品特殊出口关税,能够显著提高国内磷产品需求的满足率。Based on the international phosphorus supply chain of single manufacturer and double retailers, this paper analyzes the optimal solution for the manufacturers and retailers that are confronted with much more expensive phosphorus ore and damaged production capacity after the earthquake. Furthermore, in order to avoid material impact on the domestic phosphate fertilizer market and agricultural production, this paper proposes an optimal strategy on how to adjust special export tariff on phosphorus products according to the degree of damage. The numerical simulation results show that domestic satisfaction rate of phosphorus products can be improved significantly with the proposed adjustment strategy.

关 键 词：供应链 应急管理 地震 磷矿石 关税 

分 类 号：F407.72[经济管理—产业经济] F224