中部塌陷:现象及其内在机制推测  

Central Region Falling:Phenomenon and the Conjecture of Its Internal Mechanism

作　　者：安虎森[1] 殷广卫[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济研究所,天津300071

出　　处：《中南财经政法大学学报》2009年第1期3-8,共6页Journal of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目"促进区域协调发展的理论与对策研究"(06BJL055)

摘　　要：比较不同区域近十多年的GDP和人均GDP发现:中部地区的经济增长既慢于东部也慢于西部,即所谓的"中部塌陷"现象从1997年开始出现并一直持续,如果考虑超越中部6省范围的更广意义上的中部,"塌陷"更明显。改革开放后,东部沿海地区的快速发展即"东部崛起"是"中部塌陷"的宏观背景,根据新经济地理学对"东部崛起"的理论解释,进一步推测循环因果机制是"中部塌陷"的根本原因。"中部塌陷"现象出现的具体时间和西部地区内部的区域分化等事实为上述推测提供了间接证据。By comparing the GDP and GDP per capita in different regions of China in past fourteen years,we find that the economic growth of the central region is slower than not only the east region but also the west region.This so-called 'central region falling' phenomenon,which is not limited to the area of six central provinces,arose since 1997 and has been keeping on.The rapid development of the eastern coastal areas after the reform and opening up,which is called 'east region rising',is the background of 'central region falling'.In accordance with a theoretical interpretation of new economic geography on 'east region rising',it is further conjectured that circular causality mechanism is the fundamental cause of 'central region falling'.The beginning time of 'central region falling' and the divergence inside the west region provide indirect proofs to the above conjecture.

关 键 词：中部塌陷 循环因果 新经济地理学 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]