基于战术意图的空中目标机动态势估计  

Maneuvering Mode Prediction of Aerial Target Based on Tactical Intention

作　　者：王福军[1] 梅卫[1] 王春平[1] 魏震生[1] 

机构地区：[1]石家庄军械工程学院,石家庄050003

出　　处：《电光与控制》2009年第2期51-55,共5页Electronics Optics & Control

摘　　要：通过对目标在射弹飞行时间内机动模式的估计,可提高对目标未来的预测精度。针对进攻目标飞行航路有一定规律的特点,提出了基于攻击战术的目标机动态势估计方法。首先分析了飞行员采取何种攻击方式的影响因素和攻击战术特点,给出了用于判断目标在未来一段时间内可能机动模式的主要战术约束条件;然后采用贝叶斯网络作为推理工具,给出了构建贝叶斯网络进行目标机动态势估计的步骤;最后进行了仿真实例验证所建立模型有效性。The future position predicting precision of an aerial aircraft can be improved by estimating its maneuvering mode during shell flight-time of anti-aircraft gun. Considering that the aerial attacker has a partly regular trajectory, we proposed a new estimating method, a maneuvering mode prediction of target based on attacking tactics. At first, we analyzed the main factors that affect the attacking mode the pilot selected and the characteristics of attacking mode. The main tactical constraint conditions for estimating the probable maneuvering modes of the aircraft were given. Bayesian Networks was adopted for reasoning. The steps for constructing Bayesian Networks for future maneuvering mode prediction were presented. Simulation proved the effectiveness of the presented method.

关 键 词：空中目标 攻击战术 意图推理 贝叶斯网络 机动态势 空对地攻击 

分 类 号：V271.4[航空宇航科学与技术—飞行器设计]