人—地系统相互作用的因果回归模拟分析——以黑龙江省畜牧业生产为例  

Causal Regression Imitation Analysis on the Interactions of Human-earth System

作　　者：刘志强[1] 陈渊[1] 程叶青[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,黑龙江哈尔滨150081

出　　处：《农业系统科学与综合研究》2009年第1期120-123,共4页System Sciemces and Comprehensive Studies In Agriculture

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(40671075);黑龙江省科技攻关项目(GC04B518)

摘　　要：在运用AHP方法在对黑龙江省畜牧资源、环境与发展能力进行综合动态评价的基础上,对黑龙江省14个地市的畜牧发展规模进行了人—地系统相互作用因果回归模拟,确定出畜牧业增长与资源环境之间的动态变化参数,提出区域内解决畜牧资源瓶颈问题的具体措施。Causal regression imitation of the interactions of human-earth system for the developmental law of stoekbreeding of 14 regions and cities in Heilongjiang province was analyzed on the basis of comprehensive dynamic evaluation for the resources, environments and developmental capacity of stockbreeding in Heilongjiang province by the AHP method. The dynamic change parameters among stockbreeding increasing and resources, environments were determined and detailed measures solving the bottleneck problem of stockbreeding resources in the above regions were put forward.

关 键 词：AHP方法 人地系统 畜牧发展 资源环境 

分 类 号：S114[农业科学—农业基础科学]