电力市场中的电价影响因素  

Influential Factors Analysis on Electricity Price in the Power Market

作　　者：刘达[1] 牛东晓[1] 杨光[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学工商管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《陕西电力》2009年第1期9-12,共4页Shanxi Electric Power

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70671039);高等学校博士点专项基金项目(20040079008)。

摘　　要：对电价的影响因素进行分析是做好电价预测的第一步,分析电价的形成机制并找出主要的影响因素,对于电价预测意义重大。在回顾电力市场改革背景的基础上,分析电力市场中电价的影响因素,并以美国PJM电力市场为例,定量分析月度电价影响因素,为电价预测和电力市场分析提供参考信息。Influential factors analysis on electricity price is the precondition of doing electricity price forecasting well, and it is important for the electricity price forecasting to analyze electricity price form mechanism as well as find the main influential factors. The influential factors on the electricity price are analyzed after a review of the deregulation process of power industry; then PJM electricity market is studied, quantitative analysis on the influential factors of monthly average price in PJM is taken to provide useful information for the price forecasting and market analysis.

关 键 词：电力市场 电价 影响分析 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化] F123.9[经济管理—世界经济]