大用户法在电力负荷预测中的应用  

Application of Large Customer Method in Power Electrical Load Forecasting

作　　者：熊会林[1] 刘子伟[1] 张立树[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北宜昌供电公司,湖北宜昌443000

出　　处：《湖北电力》2009年第1期66-68,共3页Hubei Electric Power

摘　　要：文章通过综合分析某地区近5年的电力负荷预测结果,提出了大用户法,该方法充分考虑了宏观经济政策及地区的产业政策,采用统计分析单独预计新增大用户负荷,并使用大用户负荷数据修正用一般方法预测的负荷结果,并通过某地区实际数据验证了该方法的有效性。By comprehensively analyzing electrical load forecasting results in a certain area in recent 5 years, the large customer method is presented. The macroeconomic policy and regional industrial policy is fully considered, and the statistical analysis to predict the increase of the large customer load is used. By using the data of large customer load, the results with the common methods can be modified. Finally, the effectiveness of this method were verified by the load data of a certain area.

关 键 词：电力负荷预测 大用户法 统计分析 

分 类 号：TM714[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]