考虑不确定响应的分时电价分级优化模型  

The Classification Optimization Model of Time-of-Use Price Considering Consumers' Uncertain Responses

作　　者：张丽英[1] 谭忠富[1] 王绵斌[1] 乞建勋[1] 张蓉[2] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学电力经济研究所,北京102206 [2]北京京创兴业投资顾问有限公司,北京100043

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2009年第1期50-57,共8页Chinese Journal of Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70373017,70571023,50579101)

摘　　要：针对我国用户执行峰谷分时电价的实际情况,本文构建了多类用户参与此项措施的分级优化模型。在考虑用户响应不确定性的条件下,先构造多类用户峰谷分时电价的一级优化模型;然后采用区间法,建立了供电公司和用户实行峰谷分时电价的风险损失评估二级优化模型;根据设定的风险阀值给出了最优峰谷分时电价方案的筛选方法。算例表明,该方法具有一定的可操作性,对电力监管部门推行此项措施具有一定的参考作用。According to the fact of implementing peak and valley time price in our country, the paper constructs the classification optimization model of multiple-consumers participating in the measure. The firstgrade optimization model of multiple-consumers particating in peak and valley time price is established based on consumers＇ uncertain responses. Then, the second-grade optimization model of evaluating the risk losses of power supply companies and consumers implementing the measure is established with interval method. According to given risk threshold values, the filtration method of the optimization peak and valley time price project can be obtained. The example shows that the method has some maneuverability and it can provide reference for power supervise department to push the measure.

关 键 词：电力需求响应 峰谷分时电价 区间法 风险计算 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]