基于DEA-Malmquist方法的我国科技进步贡献率研究:1979～2004年  

An Empirical Analysis of the Contribution Rate of Scientific and Technological Progress in China:1979～2004——Based on DEA-Malmquist Index

作　　者：于洁[1] 刘润生[1] 曹燕[1] 庞景安[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术信息研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《软科学》2009年第2期1-6,共6页Soft Science

基　　金：中国科学技术信息研究所重要科研项目预研基金项目(yy-200705)

摘　　要：采用非参数的DEA-Malmquist指数方法,对我国科技进步贡献率进行了定量分析。结果表明：1979-2004年,我国科技进步贡献率均值为17%,全要素生产率增长率均值为1.8%,技术进步对此做出的贡献比技术效率更大。从走势上来看,1979年到1980年代中期以前,科技进步贡献率稳中有升,而后出现了较大起伏,直到1990年代中期以后,科技进步贡献率渐趋稳定。This paper applies DEA - Malmquist Index to empirically analyze the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in China. It shows that the average contribution rate is 17% in the report period of 1979 - 2004, which is more notably accomplished by technical progress than by technical efficiency improvement. The tendency of contribution rate change shows that from 1979 to mid - 1980s, it kept stable and rising, and then there were ups and downs until the mid -90s. In 1992, the contribution rate reached its peak and began to decline before it became stable in 1995.

关 键 词：数据包络分析 MALMQUIST指数 全要素生产率 科技进步贡献率 

分 类 号：F014.1[经济管理—政治经济学]