中国境外直接投资与对外贸易关系分析  

An analysis of the relationship between China's outward FDI and foreign trade

作　　者：张如庆[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院,安徽蚌埠233041

出　　处：《重庆工商大学学报（西部论坛）》2009年第1期37-40,共4页Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University:West Forum

基　　金：安徽省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目(2007sk127)"中国境外直接投资与对外贸易关系研究"

摘　　要：理论上讲,境外直接投资与母国对外贸易之间存在众多联系渠道,对一些国家的实证分析也表明两者之间确实存在互动关系。然而,利用1982—2007年的相关数据,运用协整检验方法考察我国境外直接投资与进出口之间的关系,结果表明我国出口与境外直接投资间、进口与境外直接投资间均暂无长期的稳定关系,说明现阶段中国境外直接投资与对外贸易之间的长期均衡机制与驱动机制尚未形成。Theoretically, there are many channels of foreign trade between outward direct investment and host country. The empirical researches on the relation between foreign direct investment （FDI） and international trade almost focus on the one between China＇s inward FDI and foreign trade. But little work has been done on the relationship between China＇s outward FDI and trade. By utilizing the cointegration test, we study the relationship of China＇s outward FDI with foreign trade by using the data of the period from 1982 to 2007. The main points of the paper are as follows： There is not a long-term equilibrium between exporter and outward FDI and neither is there between importer and outward FDI. The mutual driving mechanism has not yet formed between outward FDI and foreign trade.

关 键 词：境外直接投资 对外贸易 出口 进口 协整检验 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]