在高通胀中发展——越南2008～2009年形势分析与预测(上)  

Development in High Inflation Vietnam’s Analysis of 2008 and Forecast of 2009

作　　者：古小松[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]广西社会科学院 [2]广西民族大学外国语学院

出　　处：《东南亚纵横》2009年第2期3-11,共9页Crossroads：Southeast Asian Studies

摘　　要：刚刚过去的2008年是世界发生复杂、剧烈变化的一年，没有哪一个国家不受到激烈的冲击，当然越南也不例外。这一年越南经济形势动荡不定，然而，对于越南人来说是“处险不惊”，伴随着高通货膨胀，越南经济仍保持了较快的增长速度。与各国一样，越南依然面临金融危机的严峻挑战，不过，越南经济社会的基本面仍然没有改变，预期2009年底2010年初有可能走出金融危机的阴影。2008,the year has just passed, is the one with world＇s complex and dramatic changes, not a single country are not subject to intense impact, of course, Vietnam is no exception. In this year, Vietnam＇s economic situation volatiled, however, the Vietnamese is＂not scared of danger＂. Accompanied by high inflation,Vietnam＇s economy maintained a relatively quick growth. Just like other countries, Vietnam is still facing serious challenges of financial crisis. However, Vietnam＇s economic and social fundamentals remains unchanged, it is expected Vietnam may have stepped out the shadow of the financial crisis by the end of this year or the early of next year.

关 键 词：越南人 预测 通胀 金融危机 经济形势 通货膨胀 增长速度 越南经济 

分 类 号：F820.5[经济管理—财政学] K893.33[历史地理—民俗学]