基于反事实分析的产业损害幅度计算方法及CADIC扩展模型  

The Industrial Injury Margin in Anti-Dumping and CADIC Extended Model Based on Counterfactual Analysis

作　　者：赵飞[1] 何海燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081

出　　处：《北京理工大学学报》2009年第2期181-184,188,共5页Transactions of Beijing Institute of Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70573011)

摘　　要：产业损害幅度是反倾销实践过程中量化进口国国内产业受损程度的关键性指标,是调查机关确定反倾销税率的重要依据.基于反事实研究方法,在CADIC模型的基础上做进一步扩展,将评估范围从单指标扩展到多指标,并采用AHP层次分析法对多指标评估进行了综合.研究表明,扩展后的模型能够适用于反倾销实践过程中产业损害幅度的确定.Injury margin is a key index in calculating the degree of suffering of domestic industry in the application of antidumping, and an important gist on the decision of antidumping tax. Based on methods of counter-fact, some analysis in extending the CADIC mode are given by considering more factors, using method of AHP to colligate. It is shown in conclusion that the extending mode can be applied in calculating the injury margin in the antidumping practice, well quantifying the suffering of the domestic industry all-sided.

关 键 词：反倾销 产业损害幅度 反事实方法 产业损害判定 CADIC模型 

分 类 号：F72[经济管理—产业经济]