基于模糊综合评判模型的沙漠环境下驾驶员安全特性评价  

Evaluation of driver safety characteristic in desert environment based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model

作　　者：艾力.斯木吐拉[1] 李鑫[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学机械交通学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《交通运输工程学报》2009年第1期120-126,共7页Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(50422286)

摘　　要：为了揭示沙漠公路道路交通环境下驾驶员驾驶特性与交通事故之间的作用机理,选择了影响驾驶员安全特性的主要因素,并利用驾驶适宜性实地检测数据进行相关性分析,建立了影响因素与驾驶特性指标之间的模糊综合评判模型,对沙漠公路驾驶员安全可靠性进行了动态分析和评价。研究表明:由于受特殊的道路交通条件、沿线自然环境以及驾驶员生理和心理特性的影响,沙漠公路中驾驶员表现出较强的事故倾向性;诸影响因素中,气温对驾驶安全性的影响最为显著,然后依次为持续驾车时间、驾龄和年龄。In order to reveal the relationship between driving characteristics and traffic accidents on desert highway, the key factors of influencing driver safety characteristics were selected, the correlation analysis was made based on driver aptitude test data on desert highway, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of driving behavior was set up, and the dynamic analysis of driving safety characteristics was made. Study result shows that, due to the influences of unique traffic conditions, nature environmental factors, physical and psychological characteristics, drivers have strong orientation of accident on desert highway; among the factors of influencing driving safety, the main factor is air temperature, while others are continuous driving time, driving experience and driver＇s age in sequence. 4 tabs, 5 figs, 18 refs.

关 键 词：交通安全 沙漠公路 交通事故 驾驶特性 安全可靠性 

分 类 号：U491.254[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]