预言的兑现──从泰铢贬值看东南亚面临的经济增长模式的危机  

A Fulfilled Prophecy──Southeast Asia Are Facing A Crisis On Economic Growth Mode

作　　者：顾秉维[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学国际商学院,南京210093

出　　处：《亚太经济》1998年第1期1-4,共4页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

摘　　要：In his article intends to comment on the recent Southeast Asia financial crisis, the author tries to reveal the fundamental deficiency of the well -known economic growth mode in east Asia, which he regards as the essential cause of this money crisis. Here recurred the prophecy of Prof. Paul Crugman, a famous economist in Massachudetts Inst of Technology. For pointing out the intrinsic defect of themode his foreboding was once seen as a slander,but the author by analysis comesto conclude that it’s fulfied now. The analysis is around 3 levels: essential condition, interior growth mechanism and international political economic enviroment. At last he retrospected the east Asia mode on the following aspects: industrial structure, foreign capital, economic integration, etc.In his article intends to comment on the recent Southeast Asia financial crisis, the author tries to reveal the fundamental deficiency of the well -known economic growth mode in east Asia, which he regards as the essential cause of this money crisis. Here recurred the prophecy of Prof. Paul Crugman, a famous economist in Massachudetts Inst of Technology. For pointing out the intrinsic defect of themode his foreboding was once seen as a slander,but the author by analysis comesto conclude that it's fulfied now. The analysis is around 3 levels: essential condition, interior growth mechanism and international political economic enviroment. At last he retrospected the east Asia mode on the following aspects: industrial structure, foreign capital, economic integration, etc.

关 键 词：东南亚国家 经济增长 东亚模式 泰国 货币贬值 

分 类 号：F823.365[经济管理—财政学] F133.044